SpoilerTV - TV Spoilers

Hey all.

This section is now closed.

But don't despair, all Movie News that was posted here will now be posted on the main SpoilerTV Site here.

See you over there!

Golden Globes and The Social Network

Labels: , ,

By the time the dust had settled, one thing was clear: The Social Network would win Best Picture. In the mid-season exhibition round known as the Golden Globes, the Sorkin scriped/Fincher directed tale of fear and loathing in Silicon Valley came out on top, scoring three golden globe wins, and not just any three. The big three: Screenplay, Direction, Best Picture Drama.

Mark Zuckerberg might have been sitting at home, quietly hoping a biopic about somebody else would pull out a win.

Now there might have been some questions before. Some have wondered whether a more Academy-friendly movie like The King's Speech might pull of a surprising upset, or whether a late season push for The Fighter might pull a Crash and steal it.

But alas, those questions feel old already. The reign of The Social Network has begun. Now, if we were to go back to 2009, we would all be laughing about the concept that the "Facebook movie" is in fact the front runner for Best Picture. It seemed improbable, even ridiculous. The news that it was being produced by Kevin Spacey or starring Justin Timberlake didn't help.

Now here were are. A week away from the nominations being announced, and the big prize seems a foregone conclusion.

Or does it?

The Golden Globes is known as a terrible predictor of Oscar glory. Over the last 10 years, the Golden Globes has picked the same Best Picture (Drama) as the Academy Awards only 5 times.

Ironically, the Golden Globes, when breaking from the Academy, picked the "classic" Oscar movie. Big budget Biopic The Aviator over the Academy's Million Dollar Baby. Controversial love story Brokeback Mountain instead of lower-budget Crash (which the Golden Globes did not even nominate).

What could account for these divergences? The easiest answer, of course, is that the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences is made of 6,000 professionals: Actors, writers, directors, etc. The Hollywood Foreign Press Associaion, however, is made up of just 90 journalists. A very small sample size for a gala that is trying to equal the Oscars. In truth, the HFPA will often make more popular choices, and not just because they can split the Best Picture Award into Musical or Drama (and let more… unique choices like "The Tourist" into the fray) but because it is what the Academy used to do.

There were days in the past when movies like Raiders of the Lost Ark or The Fugitive were legitimate Best Picture contenders. When a big crowd pleaser or blockbuster like Rocky or The Sting could win. Or going back even humorously far, when the movies that won "Outstanding Production" were the popular movies of the year: Wings, The Broadway Melody of 1929, It Happened One Night. The Golden Globes, more so than the modern Oscars, are following in those footsteps. 2009's Golden Globes went to the #1 grossing Drama (Avatar), and the #1 grossing comedy (The Hangover), respectively. They are trying to be the next Oscars, by going right to Oscar's roots in popular film.

Of course, this year's nominees aren't even in the box office conversation. Coming in at an unimpressive #34 is The Social Network. At a distant #104 is The Kids Are All Right. All signs point to the years when the Globes and the Oscars agree perfectly. Such as 2008, when both picked Slumdog Millionaire, or 2003 with Lord of the Rings: the Return of the King, or 2000 with Gladiator.

What does this all mean? Who knows? The inner workings of the minds of the 90 Hollywood Foreign Press Association members are as secret as the CIA-esque workings of Oscar balloting. In the end, only one film can be crowned champion.

Follow me on Twitter!

blog comments powered by Disqus