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Ed's 2012 Golden Globe Predictions

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Having seen Kyle's predictions, my don't differ too much, but I thought I'd share them for those interested anyway.

It's that time of year again. The Golden Globes are one of the more prestigious awards events, hosted by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, and is an event that rewards outstanding achievement in film and television. After the Oscars, and the Grammy awards, the ceremony is generally considered to be the 3rd most watched awards show in the world, hinting at its significance for those within the 'biz.

For some, it is a 'watered-down' version of the Oscars, which are due to take place at the end of next month, but I'd disagree with that sentiment, and maintain that the Golden Globes does have its merit. It's not a clear indicator of who is going to take home the gong next month, and should not be considered an Oscar warm-up in any shape or form. Its method of splitting film into two categories (Drama and Musical/Comedy) gives a greater opportunity for brilliant yet understated films to recieve some form of awards recognition.

It's not without a little controversy, however. Giving praise to the little man is an admirable trait, but nominating 'The Tourist' (as it did last year) seemed slightly out of the blue, considering the film had been critically condemned, and performed below-par at the US box office.

And then there's Ricky...

For a third consecutive stint, Ricky Gervais is returning to host the awards. Generating more controversy than any of his stand-up gigs combined, many thought that he'd finally severed the bond between himself and the HFPA, yet here he is again, and when it was announced, you could probably feel Hollywood's butt clench with the anxiety of having the British comedian return once more, utterly packed with witty anecdotes, biting remarks and I'm sure, one or two new Charlie Sheen-based zingers.

Anyway, on to the nominations.


Best Motion Picture -- Drama
The Descendants
The Help
The Ides Of March
War Horse

Again, you can never be sure with the Globes, and though I'm yet to see 2 of these films, I'm going to go with the general buzz and predict The Descendants to come out on top of an otherwise impressive looking group of films.

Best Motion Picture -- Musical/Comedy
The Artist
Midnight In Paris
My Week With Marilyn

Again, some heavyweights here; Bridesmaids was the smash hit, and could, like The Hangover did, shock some and take home the gong. Woody Allen's best film in years, Midnight In Paris, will be a definite contender, but I don't think I can look past The Artist in this group. I'm positive it'll win.

Best Male Performance -- Drama
George Clooney -- The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio -- J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender -- Shame
Ryan Gosling -- The Ides Of March
Brad Pitt -- Moneyball

Arguably, the top 5 male stars in Hollywood at the current moment in time -- and an incredibly close knit race. Gosling has had a terrific year, as has Pitt, both starring in at least 2 critically acclaimed hits. Fassbender continues to cement his A-list status, whilst DiCaprio is as popular as ever. However, Clooney will win here.

Best Female Performance -- Drama
Glenn Close -- Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis -- The Help
Rooney Mara -- The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep -- The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton -- We Need To Talk About Kevin

This one, I'm less sure about than any of the others. Again, cases can be made for each of them, and it's anyone's guess who's going to bag it, but going with the buzz, I'd have to pick Davis after she secured the Critics' award.

Best Male Performance -- Musical/Comedy
Jean Dujardin -- The Artist
Brendan Gleeson -- The Guard
Joseph Gordon-Levitt -- 50/50
Ryan Gosling -- Crazy, Stupid, Love
Owen Wilson -- Midnight In Paris

Withstanding any major shocks, Jean Dujardin has this in the bag.

Best Female Performance -- Musical/Comedy
Jodie Foster -- Carnage
Charlize Theron -- Young Adult
Kristen Wiig -- Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams -- My Week With Marilyn
Kate Winslet -- Carnage

Wiig surprised many in Bridesmaids, and was the driving force behind its success, I have no doubt. But I don't think she did enough to put off Hollywood's darling, Marilyn Monroe, aka Michelle Williams.

Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh -- My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks -- Drive
Jonah Hill -- Moneyball
Viggo Mortenson -- A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer -- Beginners

Split between three here, but do you remember Marlin from Finding Nemo? Do you remember Ross Cargill from The Simpsons Movie? Well, imagine the guy behind those playful voices as a psychotic mafia boss. Albert Brooks to win this one.

Supporting Actress
Bérénice Bejo - The Artist
Jessica Chastain - The Help
Janet McTeer - Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer - The Help
Shailene Woodley - The Descendants

My rule regarding The Artist didn't last long. This isn't a category I admit to being an expert in, but expect Shailene Woodley to garner some praise here.

Best Director
Woody Allen - Midnight in Paris
George Clooney - The Ides of March
Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist
Alexander Payne - The Descendants
Martin Scorsese - Hugo

Personally, I'd like to see Allen or Scorsese take this one home, but I believe it's a two horse race between Payne and Hazanavicius, and whilst I have a niggling feeling that Payne will win the Oscar, expect this to go to Hazanavicius.

Best Screenplay
Woody Allen - Midnight in Paris
George Clooney, Grant Heslov & Beau Willimon - The Ides of March
Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon & Jim Rash - The Descendants
Steven Zaillian & Aaron Sorkin - Moneyball

Take my rule about The Artist, and apply it to The Descendants as well, because Payne, Faxon and Rash (Dean Pelton from Community) have this in the bag, for me.

Best Animated Feature
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Cars 2
Puss in Boots

Rango. Rango, Rango, Rango, Rango. RANGO...maybe Tintin.


Best Series -- Drama
American Horror Story
Boardwalk Empire
Game of Thrones

Ruling out the good, but severely overrated Game Of Thrones, and the perhaps slightly extreme American Horror Story, we're left with three. Boss, I know little about, but sense it's more about Kelsey Grammar's performance. Boardwalk Empire is always a safe bet, but I think the emergence of Homeland is something to be reckoned with this year.

Best Series -- Comedy
Modern Family
New Girl

I love Zooey Deschanel, but New Girl is her vehicle, and only works because people want to see Zooey Deschanel. It's amusing at times, and she is a gifted comedy actress, but it doesn't hold up against Modern Family, which will deservedly win again. And again. And again...

Best Actor -- Drama
Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad
Kelsey Grammer – Boss
Jeremy Irons – The Borgias
Damian Lewis – Homeland

I've always rated Damian Lewis as an actor, and he undeniably rocks on Homeland, but this award may as well be called the 'As Long As Breaking Bad Is Airing, Bryan Cranston Has This In The Bag' award. I'd still expect Lewis to be nominated though. NOTE: Buscemi won it last year, but Breaking Bad has had its best season to date (which is saying a lot considering it's unmatched quality).

Best Actress -- Drama
Claire Danes – Homeland
Mireille Enos – The Killing
Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife
Madeleine Stowe – Revenge
Callie Thorne – Necessary Roughness

See above. Replace Lewis with Danes, and Cranston with Margulies.

Best Actor -- Music/Comedy
Alec Baldwin – 30 Rock as Jack Donaghy
David Duchovny – Californication as Hank Moody
Johnny Galecki – The Big Bang Theory as Leonard Hofstadter
Thomas Jane – Hung as Ray Drecker
Matt LeBlanc – Episodes as Matt LeBlanc

How they keep nominating Galecki for awards over co-star Kunal Nayyer is beyond me. Either way, I'd be surprised if he won, and am going to have to credit Matt LeBlanc with this one. It's been too long.

Best Actress -- Music/Comedy
Laura Dern - Enlightened
Zooey Deschanel - New Girl
Tina Fey - 30 Rock
Laura Linney - The Big C
Amy Poehler - Parks and Recreation

Not a clue. Zooey Deschanel would be my stab in the dark, considering she's universally adored.

The Golden Globes air tonight, January 15th. For those in the UK, I believe they're showing the Red Carpet and Ceremony on E! Entertainment. If you don't have it, I suggest you google or twitter a stream (if you're desperate).

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